Friday, October 10, 2008

H5N1 suspected in South Korea and Thailand

Possible bird flu outbreaks recently announced by South Korea and Thailand have wider and more worrisome implications for other countries.

Poultry International
Release Date: October 6, 2008

Web exclusive by Dr. Terry Mabbett — Asia has been relatively quiet on the H5N1 front, but new suspected outbreaks in South Korea and Thailand in the last seven days will, if confirmed, have deeper, wider, and more worrying implications. Not least of which is that the two countries concerned are among the most diligent, ruthless, and successful in stamping out the disease.

Domestic ducks suspected in South Korea
According to Reuters, the South Korean news agencies reported a suspected bird flu outbreak at a duck farm in Yesan city in the central region of the county south of Seoul on Oct. 4, 2008. This would be the first instance of H5N1 since the outbreak earlier this year (April 1, 2008, infecting 31 farms in the following six weeks) and the worst to date. The announcement comes just several weeks after South Korea was officially pronounced free of H5N1 HPAI (highly pathogenic avian influenza) on Aug. 15, 2008.

Samples taken from the ducks are undergoing confirmatory tests by the National Veterinary Research Quarantine Service with final results due soon, said Yonhap News, citing Seoul's agriculture ministry. Initial tests at the farm, which is home to 5,000 ducks, had given positive readings for the virus. The government plans to slaughter all birds on the farm as a pre-emptive measure. During May 2008, the South Korean authorities culled all domestic fowl in Seoul in a bid to contain the virus within the city and its surrounds.
Duck farm worker dies from bird-flu like symptoms

At the end of Sept. 2008, the Bangkok Post reported how a worker on a free-range duck farm in Pho Prathap, Chang district of Phichit province in Thailand, had died from bird-flu like symptoms the previous day (Sept. 29, 2008). Forty-eight-year-old Manee Mankhetkit had been taken to the provincial hospital after he developed a high fever with cough, sore throat, chest pains, and breathing difficulties. Doctors treated the patient in an isolated intensive care ward after being told he had been in contact with poultry.
Manee was a hired hand at a duck farm with over 1,600 birds. He died, said the hospital, due to kidney and heart failure. His 12-year-old son, Sakda, who worked alongside his father, was taken to Phichit hospital and placed in an isolation ward for observation with no visitors. Public health permanent-secretary Prat Boonyawongwirot told Bangkok Post that lab tests were being performed on samples collected from the dead man's body to see whether he was infected with the deadly H5N1 virus as believed. However, Dr. Prat said leptospirosis could not be ruled out because the area was affected by floods.

Meanwhile, livestock officials had collected samples from the free-range ducks to test for H5N1 HPAI. There had been reports of poultry, and especially free-range ducks, dying en masse in the district during the previous 7 days. H5N1 HPAI had never occurred in this particular district of Phichit, although the province itself was listed as an avian influenza [H5N1 HPAI] epidemic zone. Kamnuan Ungchusak, director of the epidemiology bureau, said a team of epidemiologists had been dispatched to the district to carry out bird flu surveillance and that disinfectant would be sprayed at all poultry farms, slaughterhouses, and at-risk areas. According to the Bangkok Post, Thailand had experienced its fifth wave of bird flu outbreaks in early Feb. 2008 when the disease re-emerged in Nakhon Sawan and Phichit. The very first outbreak, it said, had struck Thailand in Jan. 2004 when more than 60 million birds were culled. Since then, there have been 25 human cases (17 fatal), although the last was in 2006.

Migratory wild water fowl on the move

These suspected outbreaks in South Korea and Thailand are yet to be confirmed one way or the other. If they do turn out to be H5N1 HPAI, there are all sorts of implications, and not just for the two countries concerned. First and foremost, South Korea and Thailand are among the most diligent of Asian countries when it comes to dealing with H5N1 HPAI. South Korea and Thailand reported episodes of H5N1 HPAI earlier this year in the same areas as these latest suspected outbreaks, and as before, they dealt with it ruthlessly. These new suspected outbreaks both involve ducks, and given their ability to carry the virus without showing symptomatic disease, then residual infection from earlier outbreaks cannot be ruled out.

Pertinent to the suspected South Korea outbreak is that migratory wild birds are on the move right now from northern Asia to warmer southern climes. The virus responsible for the South Korean outbreak in April 2008 was genetically the same as the one identified simultaneously in wild whooper swans in Japan. Recombionics have just said that although the latest report from South Korea lacks detail it is likely that the initial positive readings will be confirmed, and as Fujian H5N1 related to the H5N1 identified in the region in spring 2008. 



The outbreak, they say, is in the same area which largely targeted domestic waterfowl. Then the H5N1 was identified as a reassortant, with a clade 2.3.2 HA (haemagluttinin) and clade 2.3.4 for the other seven gene segments. It was the largest H5N1 outbreak in South Korea reported to date and they claim it included a soldier/culler who was H5 PCR positive, but the H5N1 was denied by South Korea. Closely related gene sequences were reported for whooper swans in multiple locations in northern Japan, as well as domestic poultry in Primorie, in south eastern Russia.

Recombionics says the spring 2008 outbreak signaled the movement of H5N1 to the north via wild bird infections, and although H5N1 was not reported in north eastern Siberia or Alaska, excessive poultry deaths were reported in Kamchatka, a 1250km-long peninsula in Russia’s Far East. Birds that migrated north in the spring, would be returning to the region South Korea) at this time, so an outbreak in waterfowl in South Korea at this time of the year would not be unexpected, they say. With similarly timed outbreaks reported in this area in 2003, 2006, and 2007, the current outbreak was expected, they say.

Thai/Laotian border risks

For Thailand, ingress of the virus from neighboring countries, where some experts believe the virus is entrenched in backyard flocks, cannot be ruled out. Phichit is relatively close the border area of Thailand and Laos which has been the scene (both sides of the border) of previous outbreaks. Laotian authorities have previously suggested that outbreaks suffered by them came from neighboring Thailand. However, on balance, and given the wide disparity in veterinary infrastructure and general development status between the two countries, it is more likely to be the other way round. Confirmation would be a particularly big blow for Thailand which, according to the World Health Organization (WHO), recorded its last human case of H5N1 in 2006.

Wider implications

If these two outbreaks are confirmed as H5N1 HPAI, and especially if due to residual infection, then implications in the wider world context are serious and disturbing. If countries like South Korea and Thailand cannot completely eradicate the disease there must be many more which claim to be bird flu free but which clearly are not. There are some Asian countries and a whole string in Africa where outbreaks are announced periodically then mysteriously disappear from the radar screen after little or no action, mainly because they do not have the resources and veterinary infrastructure to fight a fast moving versatile virus like H5N1 HPAI.

Thursday, October 9, 2008

Climate Change May Change Cows for Kangaroos

AUSTRALIA - The Australian Government's top climate change advisor has said that kangaroos would be a viable alternative to sheep and cattle as producers find themselves unable to cope with the carbon costs of an emissions trading scheme.

Prof Ross Garnaut has also predicted a shift in meat consumption and production towards other "low emitting" products such as chicken, pork and fish.

In his final climate change report, Prof Garnaut said the carbon costs of an emissions trading scheme would hit sheep and cattle hard because of the substantial methane gases they emit, reports the Weekly Times Now.

There were also few opportunities to reduce these emissions cost-effectively, the report said.

"By contrast, kangaroos emitted negligible amounts of methane, which could be the source of international comparative advantage for Australia in livestock production," it said.

"For most of Australia's human history...kangaroo was the main source of meat. It could again become important.''

According to the Weekly Times Now, the report referred to recent research that showed kangaroo numbers could increase from 34 million to 240 million by 2020, potentially replacing an expected drop in sheep and cattle numbers (by 36 million and 7 million respectively).

The meat from just 175 million kangaroos could replace lost lamb and beef production and become a more profitable activity once carbon prices exceeded $40 a tonne, it said. There would also be a net reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by about 16 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents a year.

Christmas Rise in Philippine Meat Demand Expected

PHILIPPINES - The Department of Agriculture (DA) is expecting a higher demand for pork, beef and poultry products.

SunStar reports that DA - Western Visayas Director, Larry Nacionales, said consumers not only in Iloilo City but also in Luzon are expected to need more livestock products, which in effect will help the meat industry in the city.

Luzon generally gets supply of meat and poultry products from the region.

Western Visayas is one of the major suppliers of pork and other livestock products in the country. The DA said that with this development, the producers here will get a boost in their business.

Meanwhile, Mr Nacionales said the DA, headed by Secretary Arthur Yap, presently has a project on mitigating the supply of pork and livestock. The project is aimed at restocking pigs for the demands in the Christmas season and the first quarter of next year.

According to Mr Nacionales, it is important that a mitigating measure be made to ensure the abundance of pork supply in the coming days.

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Philippine Pork price to be cut to P140-P150/kg

By Amy R. Remo
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 06:02:00 10/08/2008
http://business.inquirer.net/money/breakingnews/view/20081008-165218/Pork-price-to-be-cut-to-P140-P150kg

MANILA, Philippines--The hog industry has agreed to slash the prices of pork, particularly of prime cuts, to within a “reference price band” of P140-P150 a kilogram, Agriculture Secretary Arthur Yap said.

Yap said major producers, meat processors, wholesalers and retailers agreed at a meeting with him on the “reference price band” after reaching a consensus on reasonable profit margins.

He said they noted that while the farm gate prices of pork had gone down to a low of P82.25 a kilo, the average retail price of pork still hovered at around P140 a kilo for several reasons, including high trading margins.

The price of pork belly and other prime cuts have reached a high of P170-P180 a kilo in Metro Manila markets, they said.

Yap said, “Our purpose was to find a common ground among all industry players in order to come up with a fair reference price that will be beneficial for producers and traders, on one hand, and consumers, on the other.”

“Pulling down the retail cost of pork items will benefit not only consumers but producers and traders as well because lower market prices will boost consumer demand,” he said.

Hog farmers earlier called on the government to adopt the “suggested retail price,” or SRP, practice of manufacturing companies to ensure that consumers would get the right prices for pork products.

Albert Lim Jr., president of the National Federation of Hog Farmers Inc., said the SRP practice would let the Department of Agriculture post the right prices of pork products outside wet markets “so consumers are aware and can themselves call the attention of the retailers.”

“We have no control over the traders and the retailers, but as consumers we can tell retailers that they should be selling their products at the right price,” Lim said.

Meanwhile, Agriculture Assistant Secretary Salvador Salacup said plans were underway to link backyard hog growers with meat traders, such as members of the Philippine Association of Meat Processor Inc. and the Meat Importers and Trader Association, to help reduce their production costs.

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Philippine Farmers Propose Solution to Low Prices

PHILIPPINES - Pig farmers are expressing concern over the continuing fall in farm-gate prices at a time of rising costs and a drop in consumer demand. They have put forward the idea of a standard 'Suggested Retail Price'.

"The current situation is unprecedented, and has significantly affected the whole hog industry," said Albert Lim Jr., president of the National Federation of Hog Farmers Inc. (NFHFI) told SunStar.

Mr Lim pointed to the low consumer demand and the increase in pork importation by meat traders as the primary causes of the industry's problems - on top of its sufferings due to higher production costs.

He explained that while farm gate prices have gone down significantly, this is not reflected in the pricing at the markets, which also affects the consumers' buying habits.

Farm gate prices currently averages at a high of 82 pesos (PHP) per kilo and a low of PHP78 per kilo. Prior to the Holy Week, the average price was between PHP115-117 per kilo.

However, Mr Lim pointed out that pork is still selling in the wet markets at an average of between PHP170-180 per kilo, turning off many consumers who are already suffering from the hike in the prices of basic commodities.

While it is traditional for farm gate prices to go down after the Holy Week, it has not stopped going down.

"It did go down, slowly in the beginning, but we did not expect it to continue until now," Mr Lim said.

In a meeting with Agriculture Secretary Arthur Yap, the members of the NFHFI's council of presidents suggested that the Department of Agriculture (DA) come out with an information campaign to inform consumers of the 'right' price for pork products.

Mr Lim said their suggestion is similar to the 'suggested retail price' (SRP) practice of manufacturing companies. The DA can post SRP of pork products outside the wet markets so consumers are aware of the prices of pork and can themselves call the attention of the retailers.

"We have no control over the traders and the retailers but as consumers, we can tell retailers that they should be selling their products at the right price," he said. "This way, everyone comes out a winner - consumers get lower prices and will buy more pork and producers can sell more hogs."

Domino Effect

Mr Lim said if the current trend of low farm gate prices is not addressed, it will have a domino effect in the pork production all over the country.

"For a time, we thought that the situation affects only Luzon, but it has already started to affect hog producers from Visayas and Mindanao."

Since farm gate prices in Luzon have dipped significantly low, traders and meat processors have started to stop exporting pork products from Mindanao, specifically from General Santos City.

Although hogs and pork products from Mindanao saved the day for the tight pork supply in Luzon when it was hit by hog diseases, GenSan is now expected to take a hit since it adds freight fees to the cost of its pork supply.

"Before, we knew that pork prices fluctuate but this is the first time that we've been hit by very, very low prices," Mr Lim explained.

He added, "This situation is a double whammy for hog producers, especially those who were hit by the swine diseases last year. Now that they have recovered from the effects of the disease, they cannot sell their hogs because of the low farm gate prices and demand."

Production Cost Rises

Many hog producers are contemplating on shutting down their businesses due to the high cost of production vis-à-vis the low farm gate prices.

The NFHFI president said many hog raisers are complaining and very worried over the 'very low price'. They said they barely make ends meet due to the increasing cost of production.

The cost of production is currently at an average of PHP90-95 per kilo, compared to the low end of farm gate price pegged at PHP78 per kilo.

"How will hog farmers continue in this kind of situation?" asked Mr Lim.

"Although some commercial producers can continue doing business, take note that about 77% per cent of swine producers are backyard farmers."

He added that the DA's latest report noted a significant decrease in hog production for the first six months.

"Instead of going down, it should go up especially with the expected demand during the Christmas season," Mr Lim said.

MMPC to Export Pork to Singapore

PHILIPPINES - Frozen boxed pork or 'Pork in a Box' from Matutum Meat Packaging Corporation (MMPC) will soon be exported to Singapore after its Agri-Food and Veterinary Authority gave the 'go ahead' for South Cotabato's meat-packing company to start exporting pork to Singapore.

Dr Emilio Escobillo, Jr., President of the South Cotabato Swine Producers Association disclosed that SOCOSPA is targeting to capture about 25 per cent of Singapore's demand for pork meat products. However, he added that they will see to it that this will not affect the domestic market.

According to Dr Escobillo, swine producers here in Socksargen used to have live shipment to Manila of about 24,000 hogs per month but now the shipment has reduced to about 10,000 hogs per month.

Meanwhile, Cathy Romero of MMPC pointed out in a forum that MMPC started its operation in Glamang in 2007. Its produce include Warm/Chilled/Frozen Carcass for the domestic market and the Frozen Boxed Pork intended for export and also for domestic market.

She said that the mother company of MMPC is Sunpride, and its main office is located in Cebu City.

Ms Romero also explained that the reasons for expanding here: Mindanao is FMD-free; South Cotabato is one of the largest supplier of hogs and GenSan is an international sea port.

Phils.: Demand Expected to Rise During Holiday Season

THE PHILIPPINES - Commercial hog farmers are keen on selling pork at higher prices next month because of an expected higher demand this coming holiday season, according to an official of the industry group.

"We expect the [farmgate] price [of pork] to increase reasonably by the first week of November," Renato R. Eleria, vice-chairman of the National Federation of Hog Farmers, Inc., said in a phone interview.

Farm prices of pork might go up to P85 per kilogram in October and P90 per kilo in November from the current price of P82 to P84 per kilo, he added.

The demand for processed meat products double in the holiday season, reports BusinessWorld.

Likewise, Mr. Eleria assured that commercial hog raisers can sufficiently supply the rising pork demand. Commercial farming accounts for 30% of the hog industry.

Bureau of Animal Industry Director Davinio P. Catbagan said that to date, there are 50,000 overweight hogs that were not sold by raisers due to low farmgate prices.

The hogs now weigh from 100 to 130 kilos well over the national average selling weight of 70 kilos, Mr. Catbagan said.

Meanwhile, hog farmers are also keen on selling pork cuts to meat importers.

"Pork imports between January to August may have already been exhausted and importers might not be able to import because of the high exchange rate," Mr. Eleria said in vernacular.

As of mid-September, the 83,454 metric tons have already eclipsed the 79,381 MT full-year imports in 2007, a data from the BAI show.

The surge in imports resulted from favorable conditions like a strong peso and Canada’s lowering of pork prices, Mr. Eleria said.

In a statement last week, Philippine Meat Processors Association, Inc. said imports of premium cuts surged to 23.761 MT in January to August this year from 4.963 MT during the same period last year.

However, BAI Director Davinio P. Catbagan said, "[meat importers] cannot buy what they need domestically."

Modern infrastructures like slaughterhouses and cold storage facilities should be built for domestic hog raisers to be able to supply importers’ needs, Mr. Catbagan said in an interview.

"If they (local hog raisers) can present the products [we need], we are willing to buy from them," Jesus C. Cham, president of the Meat Importers and Traders Association, Inc., said in a phone interview.

"Very few of us are able to buy the [live] hogs, we are asking them to sell us pork cuts," he added.